Will no listed leader be out before 2027?
43 %
−4 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out only if every national leader on its list is still in office at the start of 2027. One resignation, ouster or death among them settles it the other way, so it prices the combined risk.
Oct 26 · 43.00 % · +7.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers27
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | 36.00 % | |
| Sep 28 | 34.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Sep 29 | 34.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 30 | 35.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 1 | 36.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 2 | 33.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 3low | 26.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Oct 4 | 32.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 33.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 36.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 36.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 8 | 38.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 9 | 41.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 40.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 40.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 48.00 % | +8.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 48.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 43.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 15 | 45.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 48.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 52.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 19high | 56.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 49.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 47.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 50.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 25 | 47.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 26latest | 43.00 % | −4.00 pts |