Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic…
6 %
+0.00% day
A Polymarket contract on whether Pete Buttigieg becomes the Democratic nominee for president in 2028. The price is what traders will pay for that outcome, so it moves with each shift in the field rather than with any poll.
Sep 4 · 6.00 % · +20.0% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 5low | 5.00 % | |
| Aug 6 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 7 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 8 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 9 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 10 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 11 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 12 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 13 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 14 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 15 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 16 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 17 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 18 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 19 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 20 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 21 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 22 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 23 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 24 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 25 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 26 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 27 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 28 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 29 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 30 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 31 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 1 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 2high | 6.00 % | +20.0% |
| Sep 3 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 4 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 4latest | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
Lately
The move is small — from 5% in early August to 6% on 2 September — and nothing in the field explains it. What has changed is the venue: on 28 August the Ninth Circuit ruled that sports bets are not "swaps", confirming state powers over prediction markets, and a Connecticut lawsuit against Kalshi followed.