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Ra'am wins exactly 7 seats in 2026?

82 % +31 pts day

A Polymarket contract that pays if Ra'am, the Islamist party of Israel's Arab citizens, wins exactly 7 of the Knesset's 120 seats. In 2021 it became the first Arab party to join an Israeli governing coalition.

Oct 28 · 82.00 % · +75.0 pts vs the window’s open

Polymarket · daily
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Lately

Israel voted Tuesday; with 85.6% counted, neither Netanyahu's bloc, at about 53 seats, nor Eisenkot's opposition had a Knesset majority without the parties of Israel's Palestinian citizens, whose turnout was historic. Both blocs treat an Arab partner as taboo, so the choice is breaking that or a sixth election in under a decade.