Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
7 %
+0.00% day
A Polymarket contract on whether the exiled son of Iran's last shah sets foot in Iran before the year ends. It is a wager on regime collapse, since no such return is possible while the Islamic Republic controls its borders.
Sep 16 · 7.00 % · +16.7% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17 | 6.00 % | |
| Aug 18 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 19 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 20 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 21 | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 22low | 5.00 % | −16.7% |
| Aug 23 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 24 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 25 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 26 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 27 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 28 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 29 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 30 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 31 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 1 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 2 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 3 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 4 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 5 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 6 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 7 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 8 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 9 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 10 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 11 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 12 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 13 | 6.00 % | +20.0% |
| Sep 14 | 5.00 % | −16.7% |
| Sep 15 | 5.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 16high | 7.00 % | +40.0% |
| Sep 16latest | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
Lately
Six months into the war, the state Pahlavi would return to is damaged but intact: Iran's mission took a General Committee seat in Vienna even after Austria revoked Mohammad Eslami's visa, its air defences downed a $30 million US jet over Isfahan, and UK officials say Tehran still runs cyber operations against exiled critics.