Dems control House after 2026?
88 %
+1.15% day
A Polymarket contract paying out if Democrats hold a majority in the US House after the 2026 midterms. Its price is what traders will pay for that outcome, and it shifts on redistricting rulings, retirements and primary results.
Sep 8 · 88.00 % · 0.0% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 9 | 88.00 % | |
| Aug 10 | 89.00 % | +1.1% |
| Aug 11low | 87.00 % | −2.2% |
| Aug 12 | 88.00 % | +1.1% |
| Aug 13 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 14 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 15 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 16 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 17 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 18 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 19 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 20 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 21 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 22 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 23 | 89.00 % | +1.1% |
| Aug 24 | 89.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 25 | 89.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 26 | 88.00 % | −1.1% |
| Aug 27 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 28 | 89.00 % | +1.1% |
| Aug 29 | 89.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 30 | 89.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 31high | 90.00 % | +1.1% |
| Sep 1 | 89.00 % | −1.1% |
| Sep 2 | 89.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 3 | 89.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 4 | 90.00 % | +1.1% |
| Sep 5 | 89.00 % | −1.1% |
| Sep 6 | 88.00 % | −1.1% |
| Sep 7 | 88.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 8 | 87.00 % | −1.1% |
| Sep 8latest | 88.00 % | +1.1% |
Lately
Nothing in the fortnight's reporting accounts for the price. What it carried was the Missouri Supreme Court blocking a Trump-backed map from November's midterms, and pressure on the venue itself: the Ninth Circuit ruled sports bets aren't "swaps," and New Jersey asked the Supreme Court to settle who polices these contracts.