Democrats win Senate in 2026 midterms?
68 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if Democrats control the US Senate after the 2026 midterm elections. The Senate confirms judges and cabinet officers, so whoever holds it decides who a president can appoint.
Oct 29 · 68.00 % · +5.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers26
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30low | 63.00 % | |
| Oct 1 | 63.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 2 | 63.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 3 | 65.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 4 | 65.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 5 | 68.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 66.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 65.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 65.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 9 | 63.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 63.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 11 | 63.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 64.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 64.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 64.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 64.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 65.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 65.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 65.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 20 | 64.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 64.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 23high | 69.00 % | +5.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 68.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 27 | 66.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 68.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 29latest | 68.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
Charges against former FBI officials over their 2023 testimony landed 11 days before the midterms, the fortnight's one story from the US campaign. Nothing in it touches a Senate race, and nothing else carried that fortnight accounts for the price.