Democrats win 2028 US election?
67 %
+0.00% day
A Polymarket contract paying out if the Democratic nominee wins the 2028 US presidential election. Prices trade between 0 and 100 and are read as the cost of that bet, not a poll of voters.
Sep 14 · 67.00 % · +13.6% vs the window’s open
the numbers32
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15 | 59.00 % | |
| Aug 16 | 59.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 17 | 59.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 18 | 59.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 19 | 59.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 20 | 59.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 21 | 59.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 22 | 59.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 23low | 57.00 % | −3.4% |
| Aug 24 | 57.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 25 | 57.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 26 | 57.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 27 | 57.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 28 | 57.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 29 | 57.00 % | 0.0% |
| Aug 30 | 59.00 % | +3.5% |
| Aug 31 | 59.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 1 | 59.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 2 | 60.00 % | +1.7% |
| Sep 3 | 60.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 4 | 60.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 5 | 60.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 6 | 60.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 7 | 60.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 8 | 61.00 % | +1.7% |
| Sep 9 | 61.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 10 | 61.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 11 | 61.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 12 | 61.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 13 | 61.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 14high | 67.00 % | +9.8% |
| Sep 14latest | 67.00 % | 0.0% |
Lately
Traders repriced the contract as the Iran war became a domestic liability: Al Jazeera framed it as a midterm problem for Trump, and the Houthi capture of Yemen's port of Mocha pushed oil higher and Fed hike odds with it, putting fuel and borrowing costs into the campaign. New Jersey has asked the Supreme Court to rule on whether such contracts are swaps or gambling.