Democrats win Minnesota Senate 2026?
92 %
−2 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the Democratic candidate wins Minnesota's US Senate seat in the November 2026 election. The state has not sent a Republican to the Senate in more than two decades.
Nov 3 · 92.00 % · +2.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers26
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4 | 90.00 % | |
| Oct 5 | 89.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 87.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 88.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 8low | 86.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 9 | 88.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 88.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 11 | 88.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 88.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 88.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 88.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 88.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 88.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 17 | 88.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 87.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 87.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 21 | 87.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 23 | 89.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 87.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 27 | 86.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 86.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 30 | 92.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Nov 1 | 93.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Nov 2high | 94.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Nov 3 | 94.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 3latest | 92.00 % | −2.00 pts |
Lately
Nothing in the fortnight's news was about the Minnesota race itself. The prediction-market stories were about who may run these markets: the CFTC sued 10 states, Utah among them, to protect Kalshi, and Polymarket pledged $3.9 million back to victims of a site compromise. Neither accounts for this price.