ECB hikes 25 bps in October 2026?
18 %
-10.00% day
What traders will pay for a contract that pays out if the European Central Bank raises its key interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point at a single meeting. That rate sets the cost of borrowing across the euro area.
Oct 7 · 18.00 % · +80.0% vs the window’s open
the numbers31
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | 10.00 % | |
| Sep 9 | 9.00 % | −10.0% |
| Sep 10 | 14.00 % | +55.6% |
| Sep 11 | 49.00 % | +250.0% |
| Sep 12high | 50.00 % | +2.0% |
| Sep 13 | 27.00 % | −46.0% |
| Sep 14 | 37.00 % | +37.0% |
| Sep 15 | 48.00 % | +29.7% |
| Sep 16 | 31.00 % | −35.4% |
| Sep 17 | 36.00 % | +16.1% |
| Sep 18 | 49.00 % | +36.1% |
| Sep 19 | 48.00 % | −2.0% |
| Sep 20 | 48.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 21 | 44.00 % | −8.3% |
| Sep 22 | 41.00 % | −6.8% |
| Sep 23 | 29.00 % | −29.3% |
| Sep 24 | 48.00 % | +65.5% |
| Sep 25 | 43.00 % | −10.4% |
| Sep 26 | 33.00 % | −23.3% |
| Sep 27 | 27.00 % | −18.2% |
| Sep 28 | 27.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 29 | 24.00 % | −11.1% |
| Sep 30 | 22.00 % | −8.3% |
| Oct 1 | 10.00 % | −54.5% |
| Oct 2 | 11.00 % | +10.0% |
| Oct 3low | 5.00 % | −54.5% |
| Oct 4 | 6.00 % | +20.0% |
| Oct 5 | 8.00 % | +33.3% |
| Oct 6 | 7.00 % | −12.5% |
| Oct 7 | 20.00 % | +185.7% |
| Oct 7latest | 18.00 % | −10.0% |