Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
6 %
+0.00% day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the Islamic Republic's government loses power in Iran before the deadline. The price is what traders pay for that outcome, and it moves on war, protest and succession inside the state.
Oct 6 · 6.00 % · −14.3% vs the window’s open
the numbers31
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 7 | 7.00 % | |
| Sep 8 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 9 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 10 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 11 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 12high | 8.00 % | +14.3% |
| Sep 13 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 14 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 15 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 16 | 8.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 17 | 7.00 % | −12.5% |
| Sep 18 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 19 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 20 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 21 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 22 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 23 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 24 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 25 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 26 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 27 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 28 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 29 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Sep 30 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Oct 1 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Oct 2 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Oct 3 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Oct 4 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Oct 5 | 7.00 % | 0.0% |
| Oct 6low | 6.00 % | −14.3% |
| Oct 6latest | 6.00 % | 0.0% |
Lately
Tehran spent the window behaving like a government that expects to stay: it sent Washington a 7-day plan to end hostilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, and the US answered through Qatar. At home it executed two men over the killing of police officers during the unrest early this year and says it blocked Starlink during the war.