GOP holds ≤47 Senate seats after 2026?
56 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether Republicans finish the 2026 midterms holding 47 or fewer of the Senate's 100 seats, well short of a majority. That outcome would hand Democrats control of confirmations and the chamber's agenda.
Nov 3 · 56.00 % · +17.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers27
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 4low | 39.00 % | |
| Oct 5 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 6 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 7 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 8 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 9 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 10 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 11 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 17 | 39.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 40.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 41.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 40.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 44.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 43.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 27 | 42.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 28 | 43.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 30 | 43.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 31 | 49.00 % | +6.00 pts |
| Nov 1 | 49.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 2 | 49.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 3high | 56.00 % | +7.00 pts |
| Nov 3latest | 56.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
In the run-up to Election Day, the news carried charges against ex-FBI officials over 2023 testimony, filed 11 days before the midterms; a court dismissing Trump's lawsuit over the election in Alaska; and Abdul El-Sayed's eve-of-vote rally in Detroit. None of it accounts for what traders paid.