GOP holds exactly 53 Senate seats in 2026?
6 %
+2 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if Republicans hold exactly 53 of the US Senate's 100 seats after the 2026 midterms, the majority they won in 2024. It prices one precise outcome, not simply control of the chamber.
Oct 25 · 6.00 % · +2.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers28
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | 4.00 % | |
| Sep 27low | 3.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Sep 28 | 3.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 29 | 3.00 % | 0 pts |
| Sep 30 | 3.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 1 | 3.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 2 | 3.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 3 | 3.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 4 | 4.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 4.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 6 | 3.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 4.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 4.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 9 | 4.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 10 | 5.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 12 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14high | 6.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 15 | 4.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 4.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 17 | 3.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 19 | 5.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 21 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 23 | 5.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 24 | 4.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 25latest | 6.00 % | +2.00 pts |
Lately
The only American election story in the fortnight was the charging of two ex-FBI officials with lying to Congress about the Hunter Biden laptop probe, 11 days before the midterms. Nothing in it touches a Senate race or explains the price.