Republicans win Iowa Senate in 2026?
53 %
−6 pts day
A Polymarket contract on whether a Republican wins Iowa's US Senate seat in 2026, priced by what traders will pay. Joni Ernst's decision not to run left the seat open in a state that has recently voted Republican for president.
Nov 2 · 53.00 % · −3.00 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers27
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | 56.00 % | |
| Oct 4 | 56.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 5 | 57.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 6 | 57.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 7 | 57.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 8 | 55.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 9 | 56.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 57.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 11high | 59.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 12 | 59.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 13 | 59.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 57.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 15 | 57.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 16 | 59.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 59.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 59.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 20 | 59.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 21 | 58.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 23 | 56.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 57.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 27 | 57.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 28 | 59.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 30 | 54.00 % | −5.00 pts |
| Oct 31 | 56.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Nov 1 | 56.00 % | 0 pts |
| Nov 2 | 59.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Nov 2latest | 53.00 % | −6.00 pts |