Republicans win Texas governor 2026?
65 %
0 pts day
A Polymarket contract that pays out if the Republican nominee wins the Texas governor's race in November 2026. Texas has not elected a Democratic governor since 1990, so the price is what traders will pay on that streak holding.
Oct 29 · 65.00 % · −16.0 pts vs the window’s open
the numbers25
| when | value | change |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | 81.00 % | |
| Oct 1 | 79.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 2high | 83.00 % | +4.00 pts |
| Oct 3 | 83.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 4 | 74.00 % | −9.00 pts |
| Oct 5 | 74.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 6 | 73.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 7 | 72.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 8 | 72.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 9 | 74.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 10 | 75.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 11 | 78.00 % | +3.00 pts |
| Oct 12 | 79.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 13 | 79.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 14 | 79.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 15 | 78.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 16 | 77.00 % | −1.00 pts |
| Oct 17 | 77.00 % | 0 pts |
| Oct 19 | 74.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 20 | 76.00 % | +2.00 pts |
| Oct 21 | 73.00 % | −3.00 pts |
| Oct 24 | 74.00 % | +1.00 pts |
| Oct 27 | 67.00 % | −7.00 pts |
| Oct 28low | 65.00 % | −2.00 pts |
| Oct 29latest | 65.00 % | 0 pts |
Lately
The only prediction-market news in the input was about the markets' legality, with the CFTC suing Utah over a gambling ban that shuts out Kalshi. None of it concerns the Texas race or accounts for this contract's price.