El Niño heat could kill 451,000 extra people by February.

Nigeria projects 31,400 of those deaths and Indonesia 19,300, the University of Chicago’s Climate Impact Lab says.

Eight of 11 El Niño events from 1951 to 2012 brought below-normal monsoon rain to Pakistan, its meteorological department found.

Three El Niño years, 1977, 1994 and 1997, brought above-normal rain, so the pattern guarantees no drought.

The World Meteorological Organisation expects a peak near year-end, with effects lasting well into 2027.

How each outlet framed it

drawn from 450+ reports worldwide

Dawn
Al Jazeera Online
quantifies 450k+ projected super El Niño deaths, maps regional inequality (Nigeria 31.4k, Sudan 17.6k)

Sources: Dawn, Al Jazeera Online