CopenhagenCurrent policies point to 2.8C of warming this century.
The UN Environment Programme says the US withdrawal from the Paris Agreement alone could add 0.1C.
US emissions rose in 2025 while the rest of the G20 slowed, as data centres and a cold winter drove fossil fuel use.
Solar deployment has grown 7 times faster than expected a decade ago, said UN Climate Change chief Simon Stiell.
The UN’s best case needs 45% emissions cuts by 2035, with the climate summit in Turkey next month.
How each outlet framed it
drawn from 200+ reports worldwide
- The New York Times leans critical
- attributes the emissions gap to the US abandoning its 2024 Biden-era pledge, calling it the most consequential factor in the report
- Hindustan Times
- gives the numerical pathways, including 1.7-1.8°C peak and 2.6°C with all NDCs, and says US withdrawal and revised historical estimates worsened projections
- CBC News
- frames the report as a 'plan B' shift, quoting the UNEP director on the US having no net-zero goal, tied to COP31 in Turkey
- Carbon Brief leans critical
- quantifies the required cuts for the 1.7-1.8°C pathway (18% by 2030, 45% by 2035) against the 5-8% current pledges would deliver
Sources: The New York Times, Hindustan Times, CBC News, Carbon Brief