US 30-year Treasury yields hit their highest since 2002.

UK 30-year gilt yields followed, back at 6%, as the sell-off spread to Europe.

Brent crude back above $100 raises inflation fears, so investors expect more rate rises and demand more to hold long debt.

Break-even inflation rates show long-run expectations stable near target in most countries, so central banks keep credibility.

Polymarket traders give 83% odds the Federal Reserve holds rates when it decides on 28 October, up 27 points in a week.

How each outlet framed it
Bloomberg Business
Financial Times News
invokes Warsh's 'overdetermined' thesis—multiple competing but unprovable theories for 1pp G7 10-year yield rise; defers analytical settlement

Sources: Bloomberg Business, Financial Times News